Mexico’s SAT has unveiled its 2026 Master Audit Plan, signaling an increasingly data-driven and aggressive enforcement environment for taxpayers.
The message is clear: 2026 will be a year of intensified digital surveillance, sector benchmarking, and targeted audits.
Key Takeaways for Businesses:
🔹 Strong Revenue Collection Performance
SAT exceeded Federal Revenue Law targets in the first bimester of 2026
Tax collection increased 2.6% in real terms vs. 2025
Enhanced surveillance supported by ARIMA / Holt-Winters predictive models
🔹 Sector-Based Effective ISR Rate Benchmarking
SAT published updated effective tax rate parameters by industry, creating new audit benchmarks for taxpayers.
Industries seeing notable increases include:
- Banking
- Brokerage
- Automotive Manufacturing
- Mining
- Auto Parts Retail
➡️ Companies materially below sector averages should expect scrutiny and potential Tax Mailbox invitations.
🔹 Heightened Audit Focus Areas
SAT formally identified 11 behaviors under enhanced surveillance, including:
Operations with EFOS / blacklisted suppliers
Recurrent tax losses despite revenue growth
Simulated or unsupported deductions
CFDI / VAT / ISR mismatches
Foreign trade undervaluation
Low effective ISR rates
Tax haven triangulation
Improper VAT refunds
🔹 Trade Defense Measures
Definitive antidumping duties imposed on float glass imports from China and Malaysia
High tariff regime remains in force for 1,463 tariff items in sensitive sectors
🔹 Strategic Recommendation for Tax Leaders
2026 requires a shift from reactive compliance to proactive tax governance:
✔ Validate effective ISR rate vs. SAT benchmarks
✔ Strengthen documentary support / materiality evidence
✔ Reassess supplier substance and operational infrastructure
✔ Review foreign trade valuation and supply chain consistency
The SAT is no longer auditing based solely on formality—it is auditing based on economic substance, predictive analytics, and cross-system data integrity.
A special thank you to Sandra Quiroz Pavón for putting this information together—your dedication and outstanding work are truly appreciated.












